Some Shifts in San Francisco Market
New Listings & Price Reductions
Jump in September
Q3 2018 Median SF House Price
up 15% Year-over-Year
October 2018 Compass Market Report
Median SF Home Sales Prices
Quarterly & Long-Term Trends
Due mostly to seasonal issues, median sales prices typically drop in Q3 from Q2 peaks, and did so this year as well. Year over year, the median SF house price was up 15% and the median condo price was up 4% from Q3 2017. The other Bay Area counties also saw substantial year-over-year increases in median home sales prices in Q3 2018.
New Listings & Price Reductions
September is always a big month for new listings coming on market in San Francisco – typically with the highest number of the year – and this year they jumped 28% higher than in September 2017 to hit their highest point in years.
The number of price reductions in September also increased: 37% over 2017 and 18% over 2016. October is usually one of the two biggest months of the year for price reductions as sellers of unsold listings make a last attempt to grab the attention of buyers before the mid-winter slowdown begins in mid-November.
The number of active listings on the market on a given day in September was somewhat higher than last year, but a bit lower than in September 2016.
Bay Area Year-over-Year Statistics by County
Jumps in listings and price reductions have been common around the Bay Area, and in some counties, the changes are much more pronounced than in SF: Sonoma saw a 122% increase in price reductions amid an active inventory of listings 90% higher than in September of last year. Santa Clara County saw staggering increases, but much of that is due to the fact that inventory was incredibly, abnormally low last year, when Santa Clara was perhaps the hottest real estate market in the country.
Days on Market, Overbidding & Months Supply of Inventory
So far, we are not seeing significant shifts in San Francisco in these 3 standard measurements of market heat.
In San Francisco, as measured by overbidding percentages, the house market is much more competitive than the condo market, which is hotter than the luxury house market, which is hotter than the luxury condo market.
Price Tables by Neighborhood & Bedroom Count
Below are selected excerpts from 10 pages of tables breaking down SF home sales over the past 12 months. If a field is left blank, it signifies that there weren’t enough sales for statistical analysis; if a price is asterisked, it means there were only 3 or 4 sales in the period. We are happy to provide the full collection of tables upon request.
House Sales
Condo Sales
The Luxury Home Market
As with the general market, September is typically a very important month for new luxury home listings and October a big month for sales. For the past 3 years, October has been the biggest month of the year for luxury house sales of $3m+. Even more so than the general market, the luxury market goes into a precipitous slowdown from just before Thanksgiving to mid-late January.
Jeff Salgado
DRE#: 01501886
415.915.9916
jeff(at)jeffsalgado(dotted)com
© Compass 2018 ¦ All Rights Reserved by Compass ¦ Made in NYC
Compass is a licensed real estate broker (01991628) in the State of California and abides by Equal Housing Opportunity laws. All material presented herein is intended for informational purposes only. Information is compiled from sources deemed reliable but is subject to errors, omissions, changes in price, condition, sale, or withdraw without notice. No statement is made as to accuracy of any description. All measurements and square footages are approximate. Exact dimensions can be obtained by retaining the services of an architect or engineer. This is not intended to solicit property already listed